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Can you bet on teams to lose?

Betting on Teams Expected to Lose Can Be a Winning Long-Term Strategy. Professional sports bettors often wager on teams that are expected to lose a certain matchup. We explain this concept, and why it's so important for winning over the long haul.

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Make Your Bookie Cry And Pull The Hair By Generating $23,187

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One of the hardest strategies for recreational sports bettors to grasp revolves around the concept that betting lines are nothing more than implied probabilities, and the ultimate goal is to find teams overvalued and undervalued by the betting market/current odds. This often means betting on teams that are undervalued, but still expected to lose over the long haul.

Casual bettors overwhelmingly flock to winning teams because the name of the game is win more bets than you lose, right?

Well, sort of.

For example, let’s assume the New York Yankees are -200 favorites against the Baltimore Orioles. As underdogs, the O’s are +170. While Baltimore is a big dog in this matchup, +170 converts to an implied probability of 37.04% before accounting for the vig. This means that should your model, strategy, winning betting system, etc. project the Orioles to win this game more than 37.04% of the time, there is an edge betting on Baltimore. Hypothetically, let’s say your model expects Baltimore to win this game 40% of the time. In this scenario, you’d have a very bet-able edge on the underdog Orioles, making them a solid wager. However, the O’s are still expected to lose this matchup 60% of the time (according to your model), meaning you’re literally betting money on a team you think will lose more often than it wins. This is a hard concept for many casual bettors to understand and a key difference between sharps and squares, especially if the Orioles end up losing the game.

But from a high level, this was still a smart bet.

Think of it like this — if someone offers you a 5-1 payout on a coin flip, you choose heads and the coin lands tails, was this a bad bet?

Absolutely not. You’re getting a 5-1 payout on a 50/50 proposition.

Sure, it didn’t work out in the end, but if you continually find opportunities where someone is willing to pay you better than the true odds of a certain event, you’ll win over the long term. Sports betting is no different, and that often means wagering on teams to lose less often than the odds imply.

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What does +500 mean in Vegas odds?

If the odds are minus (–), then that amount of money must be wagered to win $100. (e.g. –150 means you must bet $150 to win $100.) If the odds are plus (+), that amount of money would be earned on a successful $100 wager. (e.g. +150 means you make $150 on a $100 wager.)

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What does "plus" and "minus" mean in sports betting?

What does plus and minus mean in sports betting?

What does "plus" and "minus" mean as a sports betting term?

Odds expressed in terms of money, with $100 being the standard. If the odds are minus (–), then that amount of money must be wagered to win $100. (e.g. –150 means you must bet $150 to win $100.) If the odds are plus (+), that amount of money would be earned on a successful $100 wager. (e.g. +150 means you make $150 on a $100 wager.) Money line is also sometimes referred to as “American Odds.” The standard (and often implied) number is –110, meaning a successful bet of $110 would net $100 profit. This is the “juice” or “vigorish” (aka “vig”) for the house or sportsbook. Assuming equal bets on both sides, the house has a built-in 10 percent cut of the action, regardless of the outcome of a particular sporting event. This juice is a way to discourage gamblers from wagering on a heavy favorite. If the Golden State Warriors are listed at –500 to win the NBA championship, a successful $500 wager would only net $100. On the flip side, the plus-minus juice can also encourage gamblers to wager on a longshot. If the Los Angeles Lakers are a +500 to win the NBA championship, a successful $100 bet would net $500.

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