Does 40% mean 40% chance of rain?

Instead, it means a certain percentage of the forecasted area will definitely see rain—so if you see a 40% chance, it means 40% of the forecasted area will see rainfall.

tasteofhome.com - If You See a 40% Chance of Rain, This Is What It Really Means

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It looks like a 100% chance of math today.

Backyard party season is here, and we can’t wait to break out the patio furniture. But before you start working on your picnic recipes, remember to do one thing first: check the weather forecast! Even the warmest months can have unexpected showers, and you definitely don’t want to get your patio party rained on. When you open up your weather app, you might see a small percentage that lets you know how likely it is that you’ll see rain. However, the meaning of that number is more complicated than any of us realized.

What Does the Percentage of Rain Mean?

According to a viral take on the internet, the percentage of rain doesn’t predict the chances of rain. Instead, it means a certain percentage of the forecasted area will definitely see rain—so if you see a 40% chance, it means 40% of the forecasted area will see rainfall.

But it’s not quite that simple.

Meteorologists aren’t in agreement on how to measure the Probability of Precipitation, aka that little percentage of rain on your weather app. Some use a formula for it — PoP = C x A, where C stands for confidence and A stands for area. So if there’s a 50% chance of rain in 80% of a given area, your probability of rain becomes 40%. More commonly, meteorologists measure PoP as the chance of rain at any given point in the area they cover during a certain period of time. This is the definition closest to the official definition from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

What Does This Mean for Us?

Honestly, it probably doesn’t mean all that much. If you’re planning an outdoor event, you’ll probably prepare the same way no matter how you interpret the percentage. If you see 80%, there’s a good chance you’ll postpone your party, and if it’s 20%, you can probably go ahead with it. It might help to learn the lingo with this handy chart, though!

via wmcactionnews5.com

If you have to skip being outside because of the rain, check out these cozy rainy day recipes, or get started on some DIY projects.

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What is the best free weather website?

7 Best Weather Radar Websites and Apps in 2022 That Are Free National Weather Service. The Weather Channel. Windy. AccuWeather. Weather Underground. WeatherBug. NOAA Weather Radar Live.

weatherstationadvisor.com - 7 Best Weather Radar Websites and Apps in 2022 That Are Free

Website: https://weather.com/maps/usdopplerradar

App: Android / iOS

The Weather Channel’s app continues to be one of our top radar apps for 2022, and in our opinion, it’s the best actual mobile weather app. According to Forecast Advisor, The Weather Channel is consistently rated as the most accurate weather app for many cities across the country. Although it’s a more general weather app, there are some great radar features that we think are worth mentioning. Zooming in and out of imagery is fluid, and the satellite map used allows you to zoom down to street level. It also has an innovative future radar option, which attempts to forecast future storm movement up to six hours in advance using the company’s proprietary short-range modeling. If we had to pick a negative with this one, it’s that the app smooths radar imagery too much to make it look nice on the screen. In turn, this may cause some inaccuracy in the data, especially when zoomed in. However, the smoothing is addressed in a premium radar option, which offers higher resolution imagery and the previously mentioned forecast radar imagery.

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