Wager Mage
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How can I play under 3.5 goals?

The bet always uses a half goal, to divide a winner from a loser. In an Under 3.5 goal bet, three, two, one or no match goals are under 3.5 goals. You win your bet ! Four goals and more, would be over 3.5 goals and you would lose your bet.

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Taking an Under or Over goals Bet is just betting on the number of goals in a game. The bet always uses a half goal, to divide a winner from a loser. In an Under 3.5 goal bet, three, two, one or no match goals are under 3.5 goals. You win your bet ! Four goals and more, would be over 3.5 goals and you would lose your bet. There is no tie !

The beauty of this bet is it’s simplicity.

You either WIN or you LOSE, you can’t tie.

A two outcomes bet has to be a better option than going for one of three outcomes (Home Win, Draw, Away Win). But you need to do your homework and a little research. Remove some of the guess work, and back up your bets with strong statistical evidence.

Are certain leagues better for this type of betting?

Are certain teams better for Under 3.5 goal betting?

How do you identify the best teams?

Soccer-betbrain has a wide variety of tools that will help you. You can search through all the leagues, all the teams, and identify those that have the best characteristics for under goal betting. Strong defense, Fail to score numbers, low first half goal numbers, low BTTS numbers all help you identify low scoring teams.

The under 3.5 goal bet is normally priced around 2.5 to 10 or 1.25 (decimal). How does 2.5 to 10 convert into probable outcome ?

Odds into Probability

Firstly, understand a little about turning odds into probability. How do you do it ?

It’s a relatively simple process. Lets look at the European Championship game between France and Romania. The under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.3 or 3 to 10. SO you divide 1 by 1.3 and you get 0.769. Multiple this by 100 to get the expected probability = 76.9. SO the bookmakers have an expected probability of under 3.5 goals in the game of 76.9 % So to have an advantage in this bet, you need to have accurate stats, that indicate the game should go under 3.5 goals, at least 78% of the time. You are then getting a discount, to take the bet. The battle is finding those teams who’s performances are constantly beating the implied odds of the bookmakers.

Form Guide and Under 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goal stats

Form Guide & Over Goals Is a terrific form guide with Over/Under goals breakdown. Get an idea of how a team is performing very quickly. Identify those teams that will be your best under 3.5 goal candidates.

Under 3.5 goal stats

Click here to use our Over 1.5 to 4.5 stats toolkit

You can choose stats by OVER or Under Goals for ranges from 1.5 to 4.5 goals. It’s an excellent Over/Under goal betting tool, and one you need to have if you bet on over/under outcomes.

All the leagues, all the teams, quickly and easily !

Find these potentially winning teams quickly and easily. Search all the major European football leagues, and find the best teams to bet on. If the bookmakers have priced an event at 77% probability, but you know it occurs 85% of the time, you have an advantage in taking the under bet. You need to find bets where you have this advantage as you are getting an odds ‘discount’. It’s like playing poker, and getting great pot odds to make a call ! So discipline, finding the right teams, and betting in the advantage zone are key.

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What does it mean when a team is minus 7?

If you are placing an NFL bet, one of the ways to do so is on the spread. An NFL point spread indicates how much the favorite has to win by and the margin of error for the underdog. The favorite to win the game will have a plus number, while the underdog will have a minus.

If you are placing an NFL bet, one of the ways to do so is on the spread. An NFL point spread indicates how much the favorite has to win by and the margin of error for the underdog. The favorite to win the game will have a plus number, while the underdog will have a minus. Contrary to a moneyline bet, the favorite has to cover the spread in order to win the bet. If you bet on the underdog, they just have to come within the point spread. As an example, let's say the New Orleans Saints (+7) are playing the Los Angeles Rams (-7). In this case, the Rams are the favorite to win the game. If you bet on them, they have to win by more than seven points. If you bet on the Saints, the wager will win if they come within seven points. Betting on an NFL point spread means it doesn't matter who wins the game. It's all about the spread. In the example, if the Saints lose by 6 or if they win by 10, the wager will be a winner and pay exactly the same. When looking at the NFL best bonuses for the spreads, both teams will be similar. Spread bets are typically around -110.

Why do point spreads use half points?

If an NFL point spread doesn't use half points, like -7, there is a chance for a push. So if you bet on the Saints in the above example and they lose by seven, the bet would push and you would get your money back. If half points are involved, then there won't be any pushes. Every wager made will either win or lose.

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