Wager Mage
Photo: Lina Kivaka
The first thing I look for when thinking about BTTS games, is that there /should/ be a good record of goals for both teams. ... Average or Above Average Away Record Percentage of Games Scored In. Clean Sheet Percentage. Failed to Score Percentage. Goals Conceded Per Game.
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Read More »For both sides, it’s important that they have a trend of conceding goals. Personally, I value goals conceded more than goals scored as I believe a terrible defence has more affect on a game than a sensational attack. If they’re incapable of defending, the opposing team will not have to be at their best, nor will they need a star-studded lineup in order to find the back of the net. In our example game, the home side (currently 8th) has conceded 1.50 goals per game at home this season. You can view this in the table under “Head to Head” stats. The away side has scored a high number of goals on the road, averaging 2.20 goals per game. This, combined with our initial look into the home side gives a great basic indication that both teams might score in this game. I personally look for ~1.50 goals conceded as an indication of value. Next, it’s very important to look at their recent form. Going off one or two stats alone is bad practise. If you’re thorough and set rules and limits for yourself, you will be successful.
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Read More »Another quick glance at their overall away record, this time for confirmation, tells me that they have scored in each of their away games this season. You can combine this knowledge with the fact that the home side has failed to score in just 10% of their games. Statistically, it’s likely that both teams will score given everything we have just discussed.
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The team scoring the greater number of goals is the winner. If both teams score no goals or an equal number of goals the match is drawn.
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