Wager Mage
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The odds of flopping Two Pair when starting with an unpaired hand are 2%. That means you should expect about one in fifty hands to flop Two Pair. In a live game, that's approximately once every two hours, assuming an average of 25 hands per hour.
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Read More »Raise your hand if you’ve ever flopped Two Pair and lost to a bigger Two Pair! See all the hands going up? And when it happens, you often lose a big pot, especially on a dry board. Your negative implied odds are even worse when you hit your boat. Bottom pair turns into a weak boat, and you can lose your stack to a bigger full house. Another big problem occurs when the card you do not hold pairs on the turn or river. Now you are reduced to one pair not on the board and possibly a weak kicker.
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Read More »But, on the second flop, you should not be too excited if you hit bottom two. There are many possibilities for a bigger Two Pair since those likely are cards that your opponents hold. Also, a possible straight already got there. And an ace, a jack or a king on a later street would be scary. Thus, we have to consider the board texture when we flop Two Pair as well. The same is true if we have top two, bottom two, or something in the middle.
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Read More »In that scenario, you expect that someone will flop Two Pair after starting with unpaired hands about every 15 minutes in a live game. in a game. This number will be about every five minutes in an online game. Top two should be more common than bottom two, with higher cards in the mix more often than low cards.
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