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How often does the Moneyline favorite win?

How often do moneyline favorites win in NBA? Over the past five seasons, 67.25% of favorites have been successful in the NBA regular season.

olbg.com - How often do moneyline favorites & underdogs win in NBA? - OLBG.com

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The NBA sportsbooks will price up each game and on the moneyline, you get two options, you are either having a wager on the hosts to win or the team on the road to win. For betting purposes, because there are only two options, should the game finish in a tie and go to overtime then that is included in the wager, the team who wins the game outright including any overtime played. Each team will be given odds, the sportsbooks favorites will be given the negative value (-125 for example) whilst the underdogs are given the positive value (+125 for example). The favorites odds are how much you must wager to win $100, meaning odds of -125 would require a stake of $125 for you to make a $100 profit on your wager, a $125 wager would return $225, a $100 profit. The underdog odds are how much profit you would make from a $100 wager, for our example of +125, if you staked $100 and they won then you would get $100 + $125 = $225 back for a $100 profit. An easier way of understanding odds would be to convert the American Odds to Decimal Odds which are what is used on the NBA Picks page and can be done by the following calculations:

Negative Odds: 1 - (100 / Odds) = Decimal Odds

Positive Odds: 1 + (Odds /100) = Decimal Odds

For our examples, the favorites would be [1 - (100 / -125)] which is decimal odds of 1.80 and this simply means that for a successful wager, for each $1 you place, you will receive back $1.80. Finally, for the underdog, the calculation would be [1 + (125/100)] which works out as 2.25 and that means for every $1 wagered if successful would return a total of $2.25.

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