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Is draw no bet good?

Draw no bets are popular among many bettors who want the upside of an underdog, but the safety of the match ending in a draw. In the case of Morocco, you're getting a team with some upside at a nice price, +185. Draw no bets are similar to the double chance, but with the double chance, you can win if there's a draw.

actionnetwork.com - What Does 'Draw No Bet' Mean in Soccer Betting? - Action Network

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Make Your Bookie Cry And Pull The Hair By Generating $23,187

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A “draw no bet” or “tie no bet” in soccer betting is just what it sounds like — you’re betting a team to win, and if it ends in a draw, your bet will be refunded. This is a popular way to back a team with a bit of a safety net, albeit at a worse price than you’d get on the regular three-way line that includes a draw. Let’s look at an example from the 2022 World Cup group stage between Morocco and Croatia. On the three-way moneyline, there are, of course, three options. And if you bet a team on this line and it ends in a draw, you lose your bet.

Morocco wins (+310)

Croatia wins (+100)

Draw (+210)

With the tie no bet, there are only two options, because the draw will result in either side being a push. That scenario forces you to pay more to back Croatia, and you’ll get a smaller payout if you bet Morocco, because you’re getting that safety net.

On the draw no bet line, you’re getting:

Morocco +185 (compared to +310)

Croatia -245 (compared to +100)

If Morocco wins, your $10 bet turns into $18.50. If they draw, you lose $0. If they lose, you lose $10. Compare that to Crotia, where a $24.50 bet wins $10, a draw ends up in a push and a loss results in a loss of $24.50.

How Are These Lines Calculated?

Calculating the draw no bet line from the three-way line is pretty simple, but it’s easier to do in decimal odds. I’d recommend converting the American odds to decimal odds first, then running the following formula:

(1 – (1 / DRAW ODDS)) * TEAM A ODDS = RESULT

In the case of Morocco, I’ll take the 4.1 (Morocco’s odds to win in decimal odds) and the draw at 3.1 (the draw in decimal odds) and put them into this formula.

(1- (1 / 3.1)) * 4.1 = 2.77 (+177 in American odds)

In American odds, that’s +177, so it’s not far off from what FanDuel has posted at +185. If I want to see Croatia’s price, I’ll run the same formula using decimal odds.

(1- (1 / 3.1)) * 2.0 = 1.35 (-281 in American odds)

Do Draw No Bet Wagers Include Extra Time?

No, draw no bet wagers do no include extra time in tournament settings. If you bet England on the draw no bet line in the World Cup final against Brazil and it goes to extra time tied 1-1, your bet will push, even if England wins in PKs.

Is Draw No Bet a Good Wager?

Draw no bets are popular among many bettors who want the upside of an underdog, but the safety of the match ending in a draw. In the case of Morocco, you’re getting a team with some upside at a nice price, +185. Draw no bets are similar to the double chance, but with the double chance, you can win if there’s a draw. You’re just paying a much bigger premium.

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