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Should I hit on soft 16?

Hit, and your soft 16 is nearly a breakeven hand with an average loss of only eight-tenths of a percent. By standing on soft 16, the player at my table turned a nearly neutral hand into a just another awful 16. **Ace-5 vs. 10: The average loss is 54.0 cents if you stand, and that's reduced to 21.0 cents if you hit.

tunicatravel.com - Should I Hit on 16 in Blackjack? - Tunica

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Should I Hit on 16 in Blackjack?

By Travel Tunica on Thursday August 19, 2021

Many blackjack players have quirks where they deviate from basic strategy. I recently shared a table at one who would not sit at 16 under any circumstances. That’s a bad play whenever the dealer shows a 7 or higher, but it’s not that rare. What made this latest player really unusual is that his phobia for hitting 16 extended to soft 16 — hands such as Ace-5 or Ace-3-2 where the Ace is counted as 11. “At least I’m still in the game,” he said when other players tried to show him the light. “Let the dealer take a chance on busting.” An older man tried to point out that he couldn’t bust soft 16 with a one-card hit and he can always stand if a hit doesn’t improve the hand. Mr. Stand on Sixteen wasn’t buying it. How much does all this standing cost? Let’s look at a couple of examples, Ace-5 against a dealer’s 7 and against a dealer’s 10 in a six-deck game in which the dealer hits soft 17. **Ace-5 vs. 7: If you stand, average losses are 47.4 cents per dollar. Hit, and your soft 16 is nearly a breakeven hand with an average loss of only eight-tenths of a percent. By standing on soft 16, the player at my table turned a nearly neutral hand into a just another awful 16. **Ace-5 vs. 10: The average loss is 54.0 cents if you stand, and that’s reduced to 21.0 cents if you hit. The gain isn’t as large as when the dealer starts with 7, but cutting loss per dollar wagered from 54 cents to 21 is nothing to sneeze at. The pattern holds when the dealer has 8, 9 or Ace, too. Your average losses are lower when you hit rather than stand. Patterns are different when the dealer shows 2 through 6. Then those with soft 16 will want hit vs. 2 and 3 and double down vs. 4, 5 or 6. Don’t hit the wall at 16, like the player at my table did. He had it wrong all session long.

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How much money should I bring for blackjack?

A decent rule of thumb is to bring at least 100 betting units (for a 4 hour session). So if your betting unit is $100, then I'd bring $10K.

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The Honest Answer

Well, it depends. I’ll give you a neat, clean, mathy answer about it in a minute, but honestly it’s complicated. And while many professional card counters are quick to say, “I wouldn’t bother getting into card counting with less than $20,000,” I cannot give you that same answer. Why? Because that’s not our story. I started with $2,000. though I don’t think I ever bought in past my first $1,000 stake. Ben started with $800. Did we start with a perfect game? Doubtful. But we worked our tails off to get perfect at blackjack. Were we patient? Absolutely. I estimate that I was generating about $5/hr to 7/hr for the first couple months, but we were growing something so it didn’t matter! Were we lucky? Probably. Our risk of ruin (the odds of losing our entire blackjack bankroll) would give most card counters (not including Ben) severe hypertension. Were we aggressive? Insanely. We weren’t worried about backoffs, and would play a 1-20 bet spread or higher, always playing the table minimum below a true 1 and leaving the table at a true -1. While a $20,000 initial stake would be great, that’s not our story, nor is it realistic for many people. But, you’ll have to be patient, aggressive, have a perfect game, and you may need to be willing to take on a little more risk. But then again, never starting your card counting career is also a risk.

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