What are the odds of busting on 15?

58% Hit on 15 = 58% chance of busting. Hit on 14 = 56% chance of busting. Hit on 13 = 39% chance of busting.

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As strange as it may seem, one of the least known pieces of blackjack strategy involves knowing your odds of busting with different hands. For instance, if you have a score total of 15 and you hit, you have a 58% chance of busting. Knowing little facts like this is very useful when you’re using an outside-of-the-box blackjack strategy that deviates from a strategy chart. This being said, here are the chances of busting when you hit with each score total:

Hit on 21 = 100% chance of busting

Hit on 20 = 92% chance of busting

Hit on 19 = 85% chance of busting

Hit on 18 = 77% chance of busting

Hit on 17 = 69% chance of busting

Hit on 16 = 62% chance of busting

Hit on 15 = 58% chance of busting

Hit on 14 = 56% chance of busting

Hit on 13 = 39% chance of busting

Hit on 12 = 31% chance of busting

Hit on 11 or less = 0% chance of busting.

As you can see, you’re going to bust better than 50% of the time when you hit with a score of 14 and up. The obvious conclusion that you can draw from this is that you want to avoid hitting once you get past a score of 13, and especially when you get above 16. Unfortunately, the dealer’s upcard will also dictate when you hit or stand, which sometimes requires hitting on 15 or 16. However, no dealer upcard is bad enough to force you to hit on 17 or above, seeing as how there’s a 69% chance or better of busting in this situation. In regards to hitting on the number 21, outside of Austin Powers, few have been bold enough to try this move since it promises to bust your hand 100% of the time.

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Do gamblers lose more than they win?

Among the heaviest gamblers, 95% lost money.

businessinsider.com - Study Shows That Most Gamblers Are Throwing Away Money

REUTERS/Suzanne Miller

They may not admit it, but most people lose money through gambling — and heavy gamblers lose the most, according to a new analysis by the Wall Street Journal. The Journal drew these conclusions from a study of several databases and interviews with experts. Eighty-nine percent of gamblers lost money in a study of 4,222 anonymous users of one online gambling network in Europe that includes games of chance like roulette, blackjack, and slots. In the small set of winners, few won more than $150. Among the heaviest gamblers, 95% lost money. In this group, big losers outnumbered big winners by 128 to 1. In another study of 18,000 loyalty card holders at U.S. casinos, only 13.5% ended up winning money. The odds of winning were better when it came to games of skill like poker, but still most gamblers lost money. And that's all you need to know when it comes to the investment value of gambling for most people.

Read the full analysis at the Journal >

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