Wager Mage
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What did people win who bet on Rich Strike?

"We were just crazy screaming. I was hyperventilating," Stacie Conard told ABC affiliate WHAS. "The kids were trying to tell me to calm down, but they were all pretty excited." Conard and her five children won $25,000 when Rich Strike pulled off the upset with 80 to 1 odds, winning the 148th Kentucky Derby.

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Indiana mom, 5 kids who won $25K by betting on Kentucky Derby winner credit divine intervention Stacie Conard and her five children won $25,000 when Rich Strike pulled off the upset with 80 to 1 odds, winning the 148th Kentucky Derby. A southern Indiana family who won big with Rich Strike's victory said it was thanks to divine intervention. "We were just crazy screaming. I was hyperventilating," Stacie Conard told ABC affiliate WHAS. "The kids were trying to tell me to calm down, but they were all pretty excited." Conard and her five children won $25,000 when Rich Strike pulled off the upset with 80 to 1 odds, winning the 148th Kentucky Derby. "I'm sure all the neighbors heard us. It was just chaotic in the house," Conard said. She said they didn't physically come to the track, instead they watched the excitement at home and placed their bets online. It's a tradition Conard said they've had for years; everyone chooses horses based on if they like their name and if it resonates with them. This year, the decision was unanimous.

"Which never happens," Conard said.

The name helped guide them, but so did another feeling they all shared. "Their dad had passed away several years ago, and we were joking around that dad was going to help us win the Derby this year," Conard said.

She said her youngest daughter, Harper, had the most intuition.

"I don't know. I just kinda felt like it," Harper said.

And it wasn't because her father, Dennis, was a gambler. In fact, Conard said it was quite the opposite - he disliked it. But, they had a feeling he would play a role. "I know that sounds crazy, but I don't know, it was just a feeling," she said.

That hope soon turned to reality.

Conard said even the way Rich Strike won gave her chills.

"It was unbelievable that he came from behind and on the last turn won that race," she said.

However, it doesn't stop there. Conard soon had another revelation.

"And then when I realized it was our wedding anniversary," Conard said. "I thought I think your dad really did help us and they agree. They think so too." Dennis died in 2017 after 18 years of marriage. It's a moment that still cuts deep, but the bond they all share is clearly unbroken.

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How much money should you bring to a blackjack table?

A decent rule of thumb is to bring at least 100 betting units (for a 4 hour session). So if your betting unit is $100, then I'd bring $10K.

The Honest Answer

Well, it depends. I’ll give you a neat, clean, mathy answer about it in a minute, but honestly it’s complicated. And while many professional card counters are quick to say, “I wouldn’t bother getting into card counting with less than $20,000,” I cannot give you that same answer. Why? Because that’s not our story. I started with $2,000. though I don’t think I ever bought in past my first $1,000 stake. Ben started with $800. Did we start with a perfect game? Doubtful. But we worked our tails off to get perfect at blackjack. Were we patient? Absolutely. I estimate that I was generating about $5/hr to 7/hr for the first couple months, but we were growing something so it didn’t matter! Were we lucky? Probably. Our risk of ruin (the odds of losing our entire blackjack bankroll) would give most card counters (not including Ben) severe hypertension. Were we aggressive? Insanely. We weren’t worried about backoffs, and would play a 1-20 bet spread or higher, always playing the table minimum below a true 1 and leaving the table at a true -1. While a $20,000 initial stake would be great, that’s not our story, nor is it realistic for many people. But, you’ll have to be patient, aggressive, have a perfect game, and you may need to be willing to take on a little more risk. But then again, never starting your card counting career is also a risk.

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