Wager Mage
Photo: cottonbro studio
The puck line is based on goals scored and not wins and losses. With the spread being placed at 1.5 goals, a favorite would need to not only win, but win by at least 2 goals for a bettor to win the wager. And in return, an underdog can lose by one goal but still payout a winning bet.
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Read More »As with most sports, there is so much data and numbers available that it can often become overwhelming when trying to get an edge before placing a wager. Below are a notes to consider prior to placing puck line bets: Travel Schedule Is one of the teams playing back-to-back games or three games in four nights? Oftentimes NHL teams will rest their main goaltender in this type of situation. If we can catch this news prior to oddsmakers adjusting the lines, there will be a lot of value on the puck line. Important stats Corsi – Corsi is just an advanced hockey term for a shot attempt in 5v5 play. If a team shoots the puck at the net it is considered “corsi for.” And if the other team gets a shot, it’s called “corsi against.” The difference between these two actions is what gives us the corsi percentage. A team over 50%, in theory, would have more scoring chances than they are allowing. This may be a good team to target based on the odds that are given. Fenwick – This is the exact same stat as “corsi” it just doesn’t take into account blocked shots. Typically speaking, a team will have similar numbers when it comes to “corsi”and “fenwick.” My personal preference is to use “corsi” when handicapping NHL lines. Home and Road Splits Certain teams in the NHL will perform much better on their home ice than they do on the road. For example, during the 2019 season the St. Louis Blues were one of the best teams in all of hockey. Below was their home/road splits for that year:
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