Wager Mage
Wager Mage
Photo: Monstera
-4.5 Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline Team Spread Total Rams -4.5 48.5 Bengals
How to bet on football and win Follow expert football predictions. Profit with matched betting. Keep a betting record. Change bookmakers. Stay...
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Read More »Since odds were posted, the Los Angeles Rams have been favored against the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl LVI. The Rams opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Bengals, but the line has now moved to 4.5. On Thursday morning, several books moved from 4.5 to 4 as more money continues to be bet on the Bengals to win. BetMGM moved the line to 4 on Thursday and it remained there through Saturday morning. It has been fluctuating between 4 and 4.5 on Sunday, something to monitor when placing last-minute bets. It’s unusual to see a large line movement during Super Bowl week due to the liquidity in the market. The total is set at 48.5. Now begins the final countdown to Super Bowl LVI. There’s plenty of props, analysis on the game, and more to check out in the final day leading up to kickoff. The NFC champions leveraged one blockbuster deal after another before and during the regular season, acquiring Matthew Stafford, Odell Beckham Jr., Von Miller, Sony Michel and more to bolster what was already one of the league’s stronger teams. The Rams had the fourth-shortest championship odds coming into the year (a month ago their odds were 18-to-1) and will now host Super Bowl LVI in their home stadium, opening as favorites against the Bengals. Los Angeles is making its second Super Bowl appearance in four years. This is the Rams’ fifth trip overall. It wasn’t an easy path. Los Angeles survived the Divisional Round after blowing a 24-point lead to the Bucs. In the NFC Championship Game, it entered the fourth quarter down 10 to the 49ers. But Matthew Stafford led three scoring drives in the last 15 minutes and Travin Howard sealed the win with a late interception. Stafford’s thrown for 905 yards and eight total touchdowns this postseason heading into a matchup with a Cincinnati defense that has struggled to defend the air most of the year. We know Stafford and Cooper Kupp will produce in a game of this magnitude, but those numbers need to translate to touchdowns. The Rams are just 4-of-11 in the red zone over their past two games, an area the Bengals have defended exceptionally well this postseason. But this could come down to whether or not the Rams’ defense can be disruptive. Los Angeles had the third-most sacks this year (50) and only has five in the playoffs. It’s been able to find other ways to get off the field, holding its three playoff opponents to 6-of-32 on third down. The Rams’ front will need to get after Joe Burrow (sacked 51 times in the regular season), and keep the lid on what can quickly become an explosive passing game. The Bengals are well-versed by now in being the underdog. What’s one more game? After all, they’ve been in this spot since the summer. Cincinnati’s preseason win total was 6.5 games. It had the longest odds to win its division. Even facing an 18-point deficit in the AFC Championship Game wasn’t too deep of a hole to climb out of. The Bengals held the Chiefs to three total points between the second half and overtime, pulling off a stunner t0 reach the Super Bowl for the third time in franchise history. Not bad for a group that had 150-1 championship odds a day before the season started.
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Read More »As exhilarating as Cincinnati’s playoff run has been, it really won’t mean a whole lot if it can’t finish the job and win the organization’s first title. So how do the Bengals pull off one more upset? It starts with defense. Be prepared, the Bengals are going to give up a fair amount of yards. They’re allowing 371 per game these playoffs. But they also held Vegas, Tennessee and Kansas City to a combined 5-of-13 in the red zone and forced seven total turnovers. Limiting points and possessions has been a difference-maker in three games decided by 11 total points. Having the reliable leg of Evan McPherson (12-of-12 on FG, two game-winners this postseason) has also helped tremendously in these close contests. And then, of course, there’s Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and the rest of the offense, which is only 4-of-11 in the red zone but still averages 24 points per game this postseason. Finishing drives will be important in a game where opportunity could be limited, and that becomes tougher if TE C.J. Uzomah can’t go. More important is keeping Burrow upright. He’ll have to endure the Rams’ pass rush, though he was only dropped once in Kansas City after taking nine sacks against Tennessee. Either way, the Rams defense specializes in taking away the run. They rank just 22nd against the pass, so expect plenty of Burrow and the Cincinnati WRs.
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